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Evaluating Legacy Models and Future Business Frameworks

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Company news and financial news, analysis, viewpoint and stats covering the 6 Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

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Economic growth throughout the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to speed up in 2026, with the region predicted to outperform its 2025 performance regardless of soft oil earnings and ongoing international uncertainties. According to a brand-new Oxford Economics research briefing, GCC GDP development is anticipated to increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, up from 4 percent in 2025, reflecting a durable nonenergy sector, strong consumer characteristics, and slowly improving oil output.

The latest forecasts recommend that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to regain momentum, buoyed by reinforcing domestic demand and a broadly constant worldwide backdrop. The report highlights GCC customers as a major driver of the region's economic performance heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing genuine non reusable earnings are anticipated to sustain a rise in customer spending across the Gulf.

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Credit development is also anticipated to stay raised as access to financial services widens. With GCC main banks expected to follow anticipated United States Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the area's dollar pegs, borrowing expenses are most likely to decline, offering families and organizations even more inspiration to invest and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the area's resilience, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook provides a mixed image.

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This could weigh on firsthalf development, especially for economies more based on oil extraction. However, Oxford Economics predicts a rebound later on in 2026, with Opec+ members expected to resume raising production as inventories tighten up and international demand enhances. Qatar, meanwhile, stands out as a local outperformer, with considerable growths in gas production and exports expected to lift its general economic efficiency.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 budget prepares for a 6 percent cut in capital investment as the kingdom aims to narrow its financial deficit by two percentage points. However, the report keeps in mind that these cuts might not materialise completely if countercyclical costs procedures are activated to support development. By contrast, more varied economies such as the UAE and Qatar are expected to continue advancing their development programs.

In spite of shortterm threats connected to oil costs and global demand, the GCC's 2026 economic outlook is specified by strength in basics: resistant customers, robust nonenergy sectors, enhancing oil dynamics, and strategic fiscal planning. With these elements lining up, the area is getting ready for one of its most well balanced periods of expansion recently anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP development.

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RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council regional economies are anticipated to remain durable in 2026, driven by strong domestic need and a broadly consistent worldwide economy, according to an analysis. In its newest report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the real gdp of the GCC region is anticipated to broaden by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the predicted 4 percent this year.

US trade policy under President Donald Trump has had no notable influence on local development, and non-energy sectors have sustained their robust momentum," said Oxford Economics. It added: "Meanwhile, oil production has slowly increased, providing a boost to the region's economies. We anticipate GCC growth will increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center said that economic growth in the area is set to accelerate to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by expanding non-oil sectors.

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Non-oil activities accounted for 73.2 percent of overall GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the region's ongoing progress towards diversification. According to Oxford Economics, GCC consumers will be standout entertainers in 2026 and are anticipated to surpass their global peers.

In December, the IMF even more said that heading inflation is anticipated to remain below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, near to 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and a little above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit development is expected to stay raised in the GCC region throughout 2026, as access to monetary services is anticipated to grow and lending is projected to be supported by additional cuts in rate of interest."Owing to their currency pegs to the United States dollar, GCC central banks are expected to follow the United States Federal Reserve by easing monetary policy even more, which in turn will reduce debt maintenance costs and increase disposable earnings and demand," stated the report.