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Service news and financial news, analysis, viewpoint and data covering the six Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE
Economic growth throughout the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to accelerate in 2026, with the region forecasted to outshine its 2025 performance despite muted oil revenues and ongoing global uncertainties. According to a new Oxford Economics research study briefing, GCC GDP development is anticipated to increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, up from 4 per cent in 2025, showing a resistant nonenergy sector, strong consumer dynamics, and slowly improving oil output.
The newest forecasts suggest that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to restore momentum, buoyed by strengthening domestic need and a broadly constant worldwide backdrop. The report highlights GCC customers as a major chauffeur of the region's economic performance heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing genuine disposable earnings are expected to fuel a surge in consumer costs across the Gulf.
Upskilling the UAE Labor Force for a Post-AI EconomyCredit growth is also forecast to remain raised as access to financial services widens. With GCC main banks expected to follow anticipated United States Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the region's dollar pegs, borrowing costs are likely to decline, offering families and businesses further inspiration to spend and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the area's strength, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook presents a blended picture.
This could weigh on firsthalf growth, particularly for economies more based on oil extraction. Oxford Economics forecasts a rebound later on in 2026, with Opec+ members anticipated to resume raising production as stocks tighten up and international demand enhances. Qatar, on the other hand, sticks out as a regional outperformer, with considerable expansions in gas production and exports expected to raise its total financial efficiency.
Saudi Arabia's 2026 spending plan prepares for a 6 percent cut in capital investment as the kingdom intends to narrow its fiscal deficit by 2 portion points. However, the report notes that these cuts might not materialise totally if countercyclical costs measures are triggered to support development. By contrast, more diversified economies such as the UAE and Qatar are expected to continue advancing their advancement agendas.
In spite of shortterm threats tied to oil costs and international demand, the GCC's 2026 economic outlook is specified by strength in fundamentals: resilient customers, robust nonenergy sectors, enhancing oil dynamics, and tactical financial planning. With these aspects aligning, the area is preparing for one of its most well balanced durations of expansion recently anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP growth.
RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council regional economies are anticipated to remain resilient in 2026, driven by strong domestic need and a broadly stable international economy, according to an analysis. In its latest report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the genuine gross domestic product of the GCC area is expected to expand by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the predicted 4 percent this year.
US trade policy under President Donald Trump has actually had no notable effect on local growth, and non-energy sectors have sustained their robust momentum," stated Oxford Economics. It added: "On the other hand, oil production has actually gradually increased, providing a boost to the area's economies. We expect GCC development will rise to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center stated that financial development in the region is set to accelerate to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by broadening non-oil sectors.
Non-oil activities represented 73.2 percent of overall GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the area's continued progress toward diversification. According to Oxford Economics, GCC customers will be standout performers in 2026 and are expected to outperform their global peers. Oxford Economics stated that low inflation has helped protect development in genuine non reusable earnings, which has also been supported by strong need and very low joblessness rates."We do not envision any let-up, as federal governments continue to press for greater foreign direct financial investment in their push to diversify their economies away from oil and gas," the report included.
In December, the IMF further stated that heading inflation is expected to remain below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, close to 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and slightly above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit development is expected to stay elevated in the GCC region throughout 2026, as access to financial services is expected to grow and financing is projected to be supported by further cuts in interest rates."Owing to their currency pegs to the United States dollar, GCC reserve banks are expected to follow the United States Federal Reserve by reducing financial policy even more, which in turn will lower financial obligation maintenance expenses and improve disposable earnings and demand," said the report.
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